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Syria's Economic Pains Far From Over   01/24 06:13

   

   DAMASCUS, Syria (AP) -- Samir al-Baghdad grabbed his pickax and walked up a 
wobbly set of stairs made of cinderblocks and rubble.

   He is rebuilding his destroyed family house in the Qaboun neighborhood near 
Damascus, Syria 's capital.

   The traditional building, which once housed his family, parents and some 
relatives, had a courtyard decorated with plants and tiled floors where guests 
were received. But the house, like scores of others nearby, has been reduced to 
heaps of rubble during years of civil war.

   Al-Baghdadi can't afford to hire workers or rent a bulldozer to clear the 
debris and fix the house. He makes just about enough money as a mechanic to 
feed his family. But he's desperate to rebuild it because he is struggling to 
pay skyrocketing rent for an apartment.

   "Economic opportunities are basically nonexistent," al-Baghdadi said, 
sitting on a pile of rubble and debris where the house's entrance used to be. 
"So we're going to slowly rebuild with our own hands."

   Although Syrian President Bashar Assad was toppled last month in a lightning 
insurgency, the country's dire economic conditions that protesters decried have 
not changed.

   The economy has been battered by corruption and 13 years of civil war. 
Coupled with international sanctions and mismanagement, inflation skyrocketed, 
pulling some 90% of the country into poverty. Over half the population -- some 
12 million people -- don't know where their next meal will come from, according 
to the U.N. World Food Program.

   With no sign of a full-scale withdrawal of international sanctions and 
continuing caution among potential overseas investors, the honeymoon period for 
the country's new rulers could be short-lived.

   Qaboun, just a stone's throw away from the city center, and other eastern 
Damascus neighborhoods became rebel strongholds in 2012, when the country's 
mass protests against Assad spiraled into all-out war.

   It suffered government airstrikes and artillery fire, and at one point 
Islamic State group extremists. In 2017, government forces reclaimed the 
neighborhood, but when al-Baghdadi tried to return in 2020, security forces 
kicked him out and forced him to sign a pledge to never return, saying it was a 
security zone that was off limits.

   After Assad's fall, al-Baghdadi was finally able to return. Like many, he 
was euphoric and hoped it would pave the way for better times despite the many 
challenges that lay ahead, including rampant power cuts and fuel shortages.

   For years, Syrian families have relied on humanitarian aid and remittances 
from family members living abroad to survive. On top of the gargantuan costs of 
rebuilding the country's destroyed electricity, water and road infrastructure, 
money is needed to restore its battered agriculture and industrial sectors to 
make its hobbled economy productive again.

   The United Nations in 2017 estimated that it would cost at least $250 
billion to rebuild Syria. Some experts now say that number could reach at least 
$400 billion.

   Wealthy Gulf countries have pledged to build economic partnerships with 
Syria's new interim rulers, while Washington has eased some restrictions 
without fully lifting its sanctions. The U.S. Treasury Department issued a 
six-month license authorizing some transactions with Syria's interim 
government. While it includes some energy sales, Syrians say it isn't enough.

   Sinan Hatahet, an economic researcher at the Washington-based Atlantic 
Council think tank, said the U.S. actions were the "bare minimum" needed to 
show good faith to Damascus and aren't enough to help Syria jumpstart its 
economy.

   "It doesn't help the private sector to engage," Hatahet said. "The 
restrictions on trade, the restrictions on reconstruction, on rebuilding the 
infrastructure are still there."

   While countries are hesitant to make more impactful decisions as they hope 
for a peaceful political transition, many Syrians say the economy can't wait.

   "Without jobs, without huge flows of money and investments ... these 
families have no way of making ends meet," Hatahet said.

   The executive director of the World Food Program echoed similar sentiments, 
warning Syria's neighbors that its food and economic crisis is also a crisis of 
security.

   "Hunger does not breed good will," Cindy McCain said in an interview during 
her first visit to Damascus.

   In the Syrian capital's bustling old marketplace, crowds of people pack the 
narrow passageways as the country's new de facto flag is draped over the 
crowded stalls. Merchants say the atmosphere is pleasant and celebratory, but 
nobody is buying anything.

   People stop to smell the aromatic and colorful spices or pose for photos 
next to masked fighters from the ruling Hayat Tahrir al-Sham group guarding the 
market's entrances.

   "We're very happy with our liberation, thank God, but there are few jobs," 
said Walid Naoura, who works with his father at a clothing shop. "Yes, we've 
been relieved of thuggery and oppression, but all these people here have come 
to celebrate but not to buy anything because things are expensive."

   Nearby, Abou Samir, a carpenter, saws a piece of wood as he assembles a 
chest of drawers. There is no electricity to power his machinery, so he's doing 
it by hand.

   "I'm working at a loss ... and you can't make larger workshops work because 
there is no electricity," he said.

   His sons live abroad and send money to help him get by, but he refuses to 
stop his carpentry work which has been his livelihood for 50 years.

   In Qaboun, al-Baghdadi sips tea on a makeshift porch overlooking his 
neighborhood, which has turned into empty plots and a gathering point for local 
buses and minivans. It was a successful day because he managed to connect an 
electric cable to power a single light bulb -- but part of his roof collapsed.

   He still hasn't been able to secure running water but hopes that he and his 
family can move into the house with its many memories before summer, even if it 
is far from completion because of his financial situation.

   "I prefer that to living in a palace elsewhere," al-Baghdadi said.

 
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